The Reduction in Interest Rate Hikes by the Fed Causes Bitcoin to Recover Slightly

The Federal Open Market Committee of the Fed showed the consensus of the need to reduce the increase rate. The drop of the US dollar index by more than 0.9% to 105.7 is a good driver for the Bitcoin price.

Bitcoin (BTC) and other cryptocurrencies recently received another positive sign of recovery from the US Federal Reserve (Fed). The government agency released data on the slowdown of interest hikes, bringing hope to the crypto market.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the Fed showed the consensus of the need to slow interest rate hikes.

They reported that monetary policy approaches a tight enough position to meet the objectives of the Committee. Therefore, they said they needed to reduce the rate hike within the target range for the federal funds rate.

Immediately after the release of the data, the crypto market reacted optimistically. The price of Bitcoin slightly recovered from USD 16,300 to USD 16,700 before gaining regular bullish momentum.

The Drop of the USD Dollar Drives Bitcoin Higher

On the other hand, the data on the reduction of interest rate hikes by the Fed hampered the US dollar index (DXY). It dropped by more than 0.9% over the last 24 hours to trade at 105.7, a good driver for Bitcoin.

However, it is still impossible to determine whether the Fed can recover the market this time. Cryptocurrencies seem to have diverged considerably from US macro and stock market data due to the impact of the FTX collapse.

US stocks continued rising significantly last week as the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Jones recovered what they had lost. However, the price of Bitcoin remains stable at the USD 17,000 level.

The risk to the Bitcoin mining community is another potential threat that might wreak havoc on the market. A complex spending environment, chaotic business operations, and disastrous movements in the value of BTC have pushed them to the highest levels of stress since 2021.

The Number of Unemployment Claims Increases from 17,000 to 240,000

Last week, a wave of layoffs at tech companies led jobless claims to reach a three-month high. The Labor Department recently reported the US citizens filing for unemployment benefits increased from 17,000 to 240,000. According to a survey conducted by Bloomberg, economists consider the average figure is 225,000.

From November 6th to 12th, the continuous claims rose from 48,000 to 1.55 million, including those receiving unemployment benefits for over a week. That increase, the highest figure since March, represents the accumulated total for the sixth consecutive week.

The Massive Layoffs Worldwide Lead the Leading Cryptocurrencies to Rise

Economists, harbingers of recessions historically, have paid closer attention to continuous claims over recent weeks. Although the indicator has risen from its low in May, it remains below last year’s all-time high.

Since unemployment in many tech companies grew during the lockdown period, the rise in layoffs may not suggest a broader economic downturn. The explosion of online businesses occurred before the World Health Organization declared the Coronavirus a pandemic.

The price of Bitcoin has risen by more than 2% in response to the increase in US unemployment claims. Meanwhile, Ether (ETH) has climbed by 4% over the last 24 hours.

By Alexander Salazar

Since the Fed Will Not Raise Key Interest Rates, Bitcoin Might Rise above USD 20,000

Nobody knows yet what will happen with the price of Bitcoin, but there remain almost six weeks until 2022 ends. Although it usually needs some time to recover after suffering a considerable drop, recent signs show that it may rise again.

Following the collapse of FTX, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) dropped considerably, going from USD 20,000 to USD 16,000. Although many investors hope it may rise again by late 2022, nobody knows what will happen.

Movements of the Bitcoin Price over the Last 2 Weeks

The price of Bitcoin could not continue moving upward after breaking above USD 21,000 in late October. It fell back to USD 20,000, leading to massive losses within just a few days. The collapse of FTX affected the overall crypto market negatively, starting with the pioneering cryptocurrency.

Bitcoin dropped by almost 25% within a few days, going from USD 20,000 to less than USD 16,000. Although its price could stabilize between USD 16,000 and USD 17,000, there has been no recent bullish breakout.

The Price of Bitcoin Might Recover by Late 2022

The course of Bitcoin has lost value significantly over the last two weeks due to the collapse of FTX. Besides, there has been a further loss of confidence in the crypto market, preventing the price of BTC from recovering.

The price of Bitcoin may rise significantly, as there remain almost six weeks until 2022 ends. However, there are reasons for either an increase or a drop in the coming weeks.

Reasons for a Possible Increase in the Bitcoin Price

Bitcoin usually needs some time for its price to recover after suffering a considerable drop. However, the market has recently shown signs that it may be going upward again.

Besides, inflation has dropped in the US, suggesting that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may not raise key interest rates soon. That brings optimism to the crypto market, as those increases have caused Bitcoin to fall over the last few months.

Some Factors Might Prevent the Bitcoin Price from Increasing

There are also reasons against an increase in the value of Bitcoin by late 2022. Since the prices of cryptocurrencies have historically suffered losses in November and December, the same might happen again.

In addition, the loss of confidence due to the current crisis after the collapse of FTX is significant. There may be a further crash at this point, as many investors lost their money on the bankrupt cryptocurrency exchange.

It could take a little longer to overcome the crisis, as the stabilization phase might last several weeks. Therefore, the price of Bitcoin may rise insignificantly until the end of the year.

It Is Worth Investing in Bitcoin for the Long Term

Although the price of Bitcoin might rise by late 2022, the last weeks of the year might turn more neutral to the bears.

This time, it might be worth investing in Bitcoin for the medium and long term. Its prices are at their lowest level in a long time and have recently reached the bottom of the bearish market. An increase in the value of BTC in 2023 is a much more likely forecast.

By Alexander Salazar

JPMorgan Views FTX Drop as Positive to Accelerate Crypto Regulation

In a report, the investment bank said auditing and transparency needed to be specifically addressed.

JPMorgan said that the collapse of FTX could serve to drastically speed up the regulation of cryptocurrencies, a belief shared by other market players.

The investment bank detailed the events leading up to FTX’s liquidity crisis and bankruptcy in a recent report. Although characterized as a ā€œmajor short-term reversal,ā€ JPMorgan emphasized a ā€œsilver side of the sudden and unexpected collapse in FTX.ā€

Given the publicity surrounding the collapse and subsequent revelations of unprecedented impropriety, JPMorgan believes authorities will speed up sweeping regulations. It highlighted similar banking regulations that followed shortly after the 2008 global financial crisis.

JPMorgan added that this comprehensive reform would facilitate the adoption of Blockchain technology by financial institutions and the mainstream.

JPMorgan Emphasizes Transparency

The investment bank also flagged points of concern that require special attention. JPMorgan said that more auditing and transparency should be required, both at the exchange level and at the stablecoin level.

One of the reasons that FTX’s collapse has been so shocking is the extent to which its questionable methods, especially in handling client assets, have been obscured.

Consequently, major exchanges such as Binance presented serious evidence that they were still holding their clients’ assets. Several provided their cold wallet balances, as they sought to produce a more complete proof of reserves via a Merkle tree algorithm.

JPMorgan acknowledged these efforts in its report. Regarding regulations, it also suggested creating a framework that allows companies to easily provide this type of transparency.

While the crash has galvanized ā€œcrypto-skeptics,ā€ JPMorgan remains optimistic about the prospects for the technology. Earlier this week, it registered a trademark for a digital wallet.

In the report it also pointed out that centralized entities were responsible for the recent crashes, rather than decentralized protocols.

FTX Collapse Accelerated Reform

Many other participants, both within the traditional financial and cryptocurrency markets, share the belief that this incident will accelerate reform. Earlier this week, the Bank of England urged further cooperation to establish a comprehensive cryptocurrency framework following the FTX collapse.

Deputy Governor Jon Cunliffe also said that doing so would allow institutions to offer consumers the benefits of Blockchain technology.

Recently, MicroStrategy founder and Bitcoin advocate Michael Saylor also expressed a similar sentiment. Saylor told CNBC that recent events will “strengthen the hand of regulators” and “accelerate intervention.”

Saylor expected this to take the form of regulators providing a path for consumers to register digital securities. Saylor said that the market would consolidate around fewer ā€œregistered tokens,ā€ allowing the industry to ā€œgrow much faster.ā€

By Audy Castaneda

Barry Silbert: Digital Currency Group Owes $575 Million to Genesis

The CEO of DCG defended Genesis in front of its shareholders, alleging that its liquidity problems do not affect its other business areas.

The CEO of Digital Currency Group, Barry Silbert, revealed to his shareholders that the company has a liability with Genesis Global Capital for 575 million dollars and that it matures in May 2023, loans that were used to finance ā€œinvestment opportunitiesā€.

Barry Silbert disclosed the following to his shareholder meeting:

ā€œDCG currently has a liability with Genesis Global Capital of ~$575 million, due May 2023. These loans were used to fund investment opportunities and repurchase DCG shares from non-employee shareholders in secondary transactions previously highlighted in quarterly shareholder updates.ā€

Silbert said he understood the Genesis situation, and that in the “ordinary course of business”, DCG borrowed money from Genesis Global, like any of the other “hundreds of companies” crypto. He explained that the loans were structured on terms of “full competition,ā€ and were quoted at prevailing market rates.

Days ago, Genesis requested an “emergency loan” of 1,000 million dollars from investors. It happened before suspending withdrawals on its website, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing a confidential fundraising document.

DCG Rules Out Being in Financial Trouble

Even Derar Islim, CEO of Genesis Global Capital, confirmed the temporary closure of the cryptocurrency loan department, thus ceasing the possibility of withdrawing funds.

However, Barry Silbert said he was excited about the future of DCG:

ā€œWe appreciate the words of encouragement and support, along with the offers to invest in DCG. We will let you know if we decide to do a round of funding. Despite the difficult conditions in the industry, I am more excited than ever about the potential of cryptocurrencies and Blockchain technology in the coming decades and DCG is determined to remain at the forefront.ā€

In addition, Silbert specified that Genesis is going through a moment of “liquidity imbalance”, which “has no impact on its custody or trading businesses” and that Genesis continues to operate normally; however, he did not clarify if he will settle his debt before or until the agreed date.

“Genesis leadership and its board have decided to retain financial and legal advisors and the firm is exploring all possible options amid the fallout from the FTX implosion.”

Events Surrounding DCG and Genesis

It should be recalled that DCG also owes Genesis $1.1 billion in a note due June 2032, related to the Three Arrows Capital default.

On November 16, Genesis suspended client withdrawals citing the impact of FTX bankruptcy and bankruptcy. The company sought a billion-dollar bailout before halting the withdrawals, according to an earlier report in the Wall Street Journal, and warned just days ago of potential bankruptcy.

ā€œGenesis leadership and its board have decided to retain financial and legal advisors, and the firm is exploring all possible options amid the fallout from the FTX implosion,ā€ Silbert reaffirmed in his letter.

FTX, once one of the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchanges, imploded earlier this month amid allegations that its founder, Sam Bankman-Fried, mishandled client funds. , funneling billions to sister company Alameda Research, a trading firm founded by Sam Bankman-Fried in 2019 before officially retiring from day-to-day management in 2021, which apparently used the funds to place risky crypto bets.

By Audy Castaneda

Crypto Lender Genesis Might Go Bankrupt If It Does Not Receive New Funding

Neil Wilson recently commented that the need for a capital injection of Genesis shows how interconnected the cryptocurrency world is. Although the crypto lending firm has no plans to file for bankruptcy imminently, the situation seems to be another.

The FTX collapse has also affected crypto lender Genesis, which may file for bankruptcy if it fails to secure new funding. The company said its fundraising goal has dropped from USD 1 billion to USD 500 million after talking with Binance and Apollo.

On November 16th, unprecedented market turmoil following the FTX collapse led Genesis to suspend fund withdrawals temporarily. The firm previously confirmed that around USD 175 million of its funds remained trapped in an FTX account.

Neil Wilson, director of analysis at Markets.com, recently commented on the case of crypto lending firm Genesis. He said its need for a capital injection of USD 1 billion shows how interconnected the cryptocurrency world is.

The news that Genesis was at risk of going bankrupt caused the crypto market to react negatively. For example, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) dropped to USD 15,700 while altcoins followed in its steps.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin is trading at around USD 16,570 and has accumulated a 5% gain over the last 24 hours. While its daily trading volume is above USD 26.74 billion, its market capitalization is about USD 318.05 billion, according to CoinGecko.

Genesis Seeks to Solve the Situation without Going Bankrupt

According to The Wall Street Journal, crypto lender Genesis turned to Binance and Apollo Global Management for help with cash.

However, Changpeng Zhao, the CEO of Binance, refused to invest in the troubled crypto lender. He said he feared that some of the deals of Genesis might create a future conflict of interest.

Global news agency Reuters reported that Genesis had no plans to file for bankruptcy imminently. However, despite their constructive conversations with creditors, the situation seems to be another.

The crypto lending firm said they sought to solve the situation by mutual agreement without having to declare bankruptcy. However, it has not been easy due to the growing fear in the industry after the collapse of FTX.

Binance Refuses to Help Genesis Alleging a Conflict of Interest

Genesis announced that it needs to borrow USD 1 billion due to the liquidity crisis it is undergoing. However, the CEO of Binance told them he did not want to make that investment.

Changpeng Zhao reportedly declined to help fund Genesis due to a conflict of interest with its business model. The crypto lending firm also turned to Apollo Global Management for help with cash.

Genesis had to struggle with a wave of withdrawals following the collapse of FTX. Although the company seems to be about to go bankrupt, it remains optimistic about the future.

All the participants in the crypto industry have somehow felt the effects of the collapse of FTX. This time, Genesis has had to seek help from leading representatives in the community, like Binance and Apollo Global Management.

By Alexander Salazar

US Regulators Initiated FTX Investigation before the Crisis

The US Attorney’s Office for the Southern District of New York was investigating FTX, although it is not known how far they would have gone. Meanwhile, the SEC also has an open case.

The more time goes by, the more is known about the FTX situation. Day after day, new information comes out that leaves the company and its board of directors in a very bad spot, which sheds some light on how poorly an exchange, valued at 32 billion dollars by January 2022, was managed.

Naturally, the fall of FTX moves the regulators to investigate what happened, but unlike other cases, these organizations had already traveled a long way, because they had been investigating the company’s actions for months.

This has been reported by Bloomberg, which assures that the office of the Attorney for the Southern District of New York, in charge of all financial cases in the country, was already working on a case against the company for possible money laundering. This action was based on the Law of Bank Secrecy to begin investigations pertaining to the movement of cryptos by the company.

How far the Investigation Had Gone is Unknown

The Attorney for the Southern District of New York would join the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on the list of entities that have been investigating Bankman-Fried companies for months. It is not known if these organizations knew the entire financial situation of the company before the fall, but it is known that they are currently working together with the new CEO of the company to find out more about what happened.

Until now, and as reported in Bloomberg, it is known what has been declared by John J. Ray III, CEO of the company, who explained that Alameda Research, Bankman’s other company, would have lent up to one billion dollars to FTX, an amount extremely high for company accounts.

This does not mean, however, that the case will not advance further. The Southern District Prosecutor’s Office is the one that has handled most of the large cases of financial fraud and is responsible for the most important investigations in the crypto world.

This has given it an advantage by having the support of organizations such as the FBI and other entities. regulators. For this reason, one should wait until further progress is made in the case to find out everything they hid from FTX.

SEC Has an Open Case Against FTX

The U.S. securities regulator had been investigating crypto exchange FTX and its handling of customer funds amid a liquidity crunch, as well as its crypto-lending activities, a source with knowledge of the inquiry said last week.

Gary Gensler, Chair of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, had previously expressed concerns about whether crypto platforms were properly segregating assets, and trading against their customers with their market-making activities.

By Audy Castaneda