XRP Gains Wide Recognition as One of the Largest Crypto Assets

XRP will replace USDC and enter the top 5 of its Cryptocurrency Global Large Top5 Index and its Cryptocurrency Global Large Top5 Equal Weight Index.

XRP has continued to see significant success thanks to Judge Analisa Torres’ ruling, which granted it unique status following her declaration that the token is not a security. One such recorded success is the latest recognition of XRP by the Hong Kong Virtual Asset Consortium (HKVAC) in its latest crypto index ranking.

HKVAC Lists XRP Among Top 5 Cryptocurrencies

In a statement released on October 13, the prominent rating agency stated that XRP will replace USDC and enter the top 5 of its Cryptocurrency Global Large Top5 Index and its Cryptocurrency Global Large Top5 Equal Weight Index. This top 5 index contains other major cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, BNB, and USDT.

HKVAC noted that this change is part of its rebalancing results of HKVAC key indices and HKVAC market indices. In addition, it stated that these changes will come into effect on October 20. Other changes include excluding Cryptonex and Internet Computer, and including Hedera and Maker tokens in the global cryptocurrency market capitalization index of the top 30 cryptocurrencies.

HKVAC chooses the tokens that make up these indices based on their “market capitalization, liquidity, investability and other key criteria suitable for general investors.” The list is designed to reflect a “broad spectrum of virtual assets that can be invested in.”

These indices are also important in Hong Kong as it is one of the measures that the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) considers when approving the marketing and issuance of a crypto token within its jurisdiction.

XRP Value Is on The Rise

Meanwhile, the token had shown a glimpse of its potential when it became the fourth-largest crypto token by market capitalization following Judge Torres’ ruling in favor of Ripple against the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

Despite the bearish trend in the price of XRP, with some analysts predicting the token could fall further, many in the legal in progress. Ripple’s CLO also seems to agree that the token has become more valuable, as he stated that the token is now “uniquely classified” as non-security in the US.

Considering that the token is thriving thanks to the great successes recorded by Ripple, it is projected that it could continue to increase as the crypto company records important milestones in its commercial projects.

On October 11, XRP fell below the uptrend line, indicating that bullish pressure is reducing. The drop suggests that the price will continue to fluctuate between $0.41 and $0.56 for some time.

On the positive side, a breakout and close above the moving averages will be the first sign of strength. Buyers will then try to push the price towards the overhead resistance at $0.56. A break and close above this level will signal the start of a new potential bull market.

Ripple was trading earlier this morning at 0.511 euros, so it implied a change of 0.17% compared to the value of the previous day. In reference to the profitability of the last week, Ripple registers a decrease of 3.1%; On the contrary, in the last year it still maintains an improvement of 18.77%.

Regarding the volatility of recent days, it presents a noticeably lower performance than the volatility reflected in the figures for the last year, therefore its price is showing fewer changes than expected in recent times.

By Leonardo Pérez

Top Bitcoin News of the Week

A weekly update summarizing crucial news from the leading cryptocurrency.

This week kicked off with reports of the decreasing interest in Bitcoin as reflected on fewer searches on Google.

CryptoQuant CED Ki Young described whales’ behavior in the current market, stating that they seem to be in “high risk mode”. Expert Jim Cramer highlighted that BTC is on the brink of a significant drop soon. Max Keiser, in other news, predicted that the Bitcoin price could reach $220,000, a forecast shared by other experts.

Finally, amid the Palestina-Israel conflict, Hamas militants behind Israel attack raised millions in crypto, as reported by the Wall Street Journal.

Bitcoin Searches on Google Continue to Lose Ground

On October 12, the search score for the word “Bitcoin” hit new lows, currently resembling 2020 interest levels. Data retrieved by Finbold from the Google platform shows a score of 16 for this week.

However, the previous week’s scores of 16 and 15 are already as low as what was seen from October 18 to 24, 2020. Interestingly, the highest score of 100 was reached in 2021, from May 16 to 22. Consequently, when people are not on Google researching cryptocurrency, it is unlikely that they will tend to invest.

“High Risk Mode” Remains Among Bitcoin Whales, Expert Says

Ki Young Ju, CEO of CryptoQuant, a renowned Blockchain analysis firm, offered his perspective on the behavior of whales in the current market.

According to Ju, Bitcoin whales appear to be in “high-risk mode.” This is supported by the “Interexchange Flow Pulse” model, which measures the cumulative one-year net flows between the Coinbase exchange and derivatives platforms. When this indicator increases, it suggests that investors are willing to take risks by moving more BTC from traditional exchanges to derivatives exchanges.

Looking to the future, Ki Young Ju poses a reflection: “With the possibility of a new bull run, Will a “risk-on” attitude return to the crypto market in 2023?”

Jim Cramer: “Bitcoin is Approaching a Giant Fall”

Television investment guru Jim Cramer was against the idea of ​​investing in Bitcoin or gold as a possible alternative option. As if that were not enough, he assured that Bitcoin could collapse and advised against considering it as a possible investment. He explained that “I can’t be in something where Mr. Bitcoin is about to take a nosedive.”

Max Keiser Forecasts Bitcoin Price at US$220,000

Max Keizer, the popular Bitcoin guru and advisor to Salvadoran President Nayib Bukele, predicted that Bitcoin could reach $220,000, although he did not specify when that could happen.

Keiser made this comment after a CNBC article was published reporting on the current downturn in financial markets, which has raised concerns about the economy and inflation. This prediction joins other opinions of several leaders. For example, Kevin O’Leary, Cathie Wood, Arthur Hayes and Adam Back, on the future evolution of the price of the cryptocurrency.

The Palestinian Paramilitary Group, “Hamas”, Has Raised Millions of Dollars in Crypto Donations

According to an analysis by the firm Elliptic, in 2019, the Hamas group began a fundraising campaign with cryptocurrencies. A Wall Street Journal report revealed that between August 2021 and June 2023, Hamas received more than the equivalent of $134 million in cryptocurrencies.

Subsequently, the Israeli government announced freezing measures against part of these assets. However, for David Carlisle, vice president of Political and Regulatory Affairs at Elliptic, there is still a real possibility that terrorists will continue along this line.

By Audy Castaneda

Cryptocurrency Forecast Amid Hamas-Israel Conflict

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While traditional financial systems have been affected, there has been speculation about the use of cryptocurrencies in the conflict.

The current conflict between Israel and Hamas in Gaza has attracted widespread attention around the world. As the world watches, the impact of this conflict is being felt not only on the ground but also in the financial markets. In particular, defense stocks experienced significant fluctuations.

Hamas may have used digital currencies as a means of financing its operations. The US Department of Justice is investigating money laundering cases involving cryptocurrency accounts linked to Hamas. Although details are still scarce, it is evident that these accounts were confiscated by the US government three years ago.

Two questions arise on this topic, which will be discussed below: How are cryptocurrencies, decentralized digital assets, responding to these geopolitical tensions? Will cryptocurrencies crash?

Cryptocurrency Forecast

Bitcoin (BTC): Bitcoin, a pioneer of the crypto world, recorded a slight increase in the last 24 hours. The current price is $26,932.88, an increase of 0.75%. However, over the past week, Bitcoin recorded a drop of 3.68%.

Ethereum (ETH): Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, is priced at $1,556.71. It registered a growth of 0.97% in the last 24 hours. However, last week’s performance was negative with a drop of 5.07%.

BNB (Binance Coin): BNB, the native token of the Binance platform, is at $206.82. There has been an increase of 0.55% over the last day. Over the past week, BNB fell by 2.73%.

Cardano (ADA): Cardano, a blockchain platform for smart contracts, is currently priced at $0.2476. In the last 24 hours it registered a slight growth of 0.33%. However, the weekly performance shows a drop of 4.23%.

Ripple (XRP): XRP, better known for its digital payment protocol than its cryptocurrency, is priced at $0.4875. There has been an increase of 1.36% in the last 24 hours. Last week, XRP suffered a drop of 6.76%.

Crypto at a Crossroads

As BlackRock and JPMorgan dive deep into the cryptosphere, the IMF has clearly expressed its concerns about the impact of this conflict on economic stability. The call for reforms in the crypto industry shows how vulnerable the sector is to geopolitical fluctuations.

Beyond the growth forecast for the Middle East, the IMF believes that the current conflict poses substantial risks to the economic health of the region. In an increasingly interconnected world, even remote markets are feeling the weight of these tensions. The IMF recommends “managing technological transformations,” to avoid digital fragmentation that could hinder innovation and growth in the crypto sector.

The current crisis has revealed how fragile the global economy is. And in this equation, cryptocurrencies, with their disruptive potential, have an important role to play. As the IMF revises its forecasts, the crypto community must be proactive and innovative.

Janet Yellen, US Treasury Secretary, highlighted the danger that this conflict represents for a global economy that is already on a knife’s edge. He called on Israel for support, while warning against escalating hostilities.

In this tumultuous landscape, cryptocurrencies can offer innovative financial solutions. It represents both a challenge and an opportunity for global economic actors. Cryptocurrencies are more than just a digital currency.

In the current context, it is presented as a potential pillar of global financial stability. However, the industry must evolve to meet current challenges. The coming months will be crucial in defining the place of cryptocurrencies in the global economic landscape.

By Leonardo Pérez

Important Bitcoin (BTC) Indicator Moves Between Fear and Optimism

Bitcoin’s NUPL indicator shows a battle between fear and optimism zones. Despite the recent capitulation, short-term BTC holders are showing signs of reversal.

Bitcoin price has been correcting since reaching a local peak of $28,580 on October 2. Since then, the bears have managed to push the price of the largest cryptocurrency down to the $26,500 area. What’s next for BTC price?

At the same time, the well-known Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) indicator shows the ongoing battle between areas of fear and optimism. Despite a bullish start to 2023 and an exit from the capitulation zone, Bitcoin price corrections continue to return to the fear zone.

Will the Bitcoin Risk Index, which has currently hit its lows, finally keep the cryptocurrency market in the optimism zone and start a new bull market?

NUPL between Fear and Optimism

Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) is an on-chain metric that calculates the difference between relative unrealized profit and relative unrealized loss. Another way to calculate this ratio is to subtract the realized market capitalization from the total market capitalization and divide the result by the latter.

The NUPL chart contains five horizontal areas, which are interpreted from the perspective of market psychology: from the red level of capitalization to the blue area of ​​euphoria and greed. Intermediate areas have both bullish and bearish interpretations depending on whether the chart crosses the area during a bull or bear market.

Currently, Bitcoin’s NUPL is in the fairly neutral yellow zone of optimism at 0.26. At the same time, the indicator is close to the orange fear level, which begins after a drop below 0.25. The optimism area is the highest-level Bitcoin’s NUPL has been at since early 2023.

In mid-January, the indicator was consolidating at the lowest capitulation level, only to turn bullish as the Cryptocurrencies recovered quickly. However, the specter of a deeper correction and a test of the $20,000 area could still send NUPL deep back into fear territory.

Short-Term Holders Continue to Capitulate, But Signs of Reversal Arise

If the same indicator is analyzed for short-term holders (STH), it is evident that new investors are still experiencing capitulation.

The NUPL for STHs takes into account only those UTXOs that are less than 155 days old. In other words, it calculates unrealized gains/losses for new Bitcoin holders.

This version of the chart reveals that most new investors are still posting losses. The beginning of the year had brought them a period of relief and a return to the fear zone. What’s more, the short-term NUPL was even in the optimism zone for a while (March 20). However, since mid-August, short-term holders have seen continued capitulation

Despite this, well-known on-chain analyst @_Checkmatey_ published an X chart that may contain optimistic signals. He pointed out the NUPL indicator for STHs:

“The bears took the negative situation with the liquidation from $29,000 to $26,000. However, they were unable to lower it. Despite the significant losses the market is suffering (the most bearish the market has been since FTX).”

He adds that the indicator has turned green again, indicating a possible rebound in the STH (short-term holders) profit and loss momentum. Therefore, the analyst concludes, this could lead to two possible scenarios: the last profit-taking before a deep correction or the return of strength. He adds that personally – in the context of the macro market – he leans towards the latter scenario.

By Audy Castaneda

Bitcoin Mining Fears: Chinese-Owned Operations in US Raise National Security Concerns

According to an October 13 report from the New York Times, US government officials were allegedly monitoring certain cryptocurrency mining operations with ties to China.

In a recent report, The New York Times uncovered alleged national security concerns surrounding Chinese-owned Bitcoin (BTC) mining operations on US soil.

Attention is focused on a crypto mining facility in Cheyenne, Wyoming, that raised alarm bells due to its proximity to a Microsoft data center that supports the Pentagon and an Air Force base responsible for nuclear-armed intercontinental ballistic missiles.

Growing Presence of Chinese Bitcoin Mines in the US

According to the report, Microsoft’s national security threat assessment team expressed deep concern about the potential for “full spectrum intelligence gathering operations” that the Chinese company could conduct in such a strategic location.

Following Microsoft’s warning, US government officials anonymously said they had been monitoring the Wyoming mining operation for months. Steps were taken to mitigate potential intelligence gathering, but no details were provided. The mining company collaborated with the investigations of the federal investment committee.

This Wyoming case sheds light on a broader trend of increasing Chinese Bitcoin mines across the United States, causing concern and raising additional security concerns. Beyond concerns about intelligence gathering, these mining operations, which consist of large warehouses or containers packed with specialized computers, put significant pressure on power grids.

Mining computers run continuously and consume large amounts of electricity while “mining” digital currencies, particularly Bitcoin. Brian Harrell, former undersecretary for infrastructure protection at the Department of Homeland Security, warned that if these mines collaborated to wreak havoc, they could place “enormous stress” on the network, potentially leading to targeted blackouts or cyberattacks.

Harrell emphasized that any Chinese infrastructure that affects key energy systems should prompt further investigation and scrutiny. The New York Times investigation identified Chinese-owned or operated Bitcoin mines in at least 12 states, including Arkansas, Ohio, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas and Wyoming.

Together, these mines consume as much energy as 1.5 million homes. When operating at full capacity, the Cheyenne, Wyoming, mine alone requires enough electricity to power 55,000 homes.

Controversy Surrounds Bitmain

Many of these mining facilities use computers manufactured by Bitmain, a Chinese company with no apparent direct connection to Chinese authorities. However, import records indicate that Bitmain has sent shipments to the United States through a subsidiary at a Communist Party site in southern China.

Since China banned Bitcoin mining in May 2021 due to concerns over energy use and economic destabilization, Bitmain has increased its equipment shipments to the United States fifteenfold compared to the previous five years.

According to the New York Times, the company claims to control 90 percent of the global Bitcoin mining equipment market. Overall, according to the report, the rise of Chinese-owned Bitcoin mining operations in the United States has raised significant national security and energy infrastructure concerns for US authorities.

On October 3, the Treasury Department sanctioned cryptocurrency wallets allegedly linked to the production of the drug fentanyl, which included several China-based chemical manufacturers. In July, claims that cryptocurrency company Prometheum had ties to the Chinese government sparked calls for an investigation by six members of Congress.

The price of BTC stands at $26,700. Over the past seven days, the market’s largest cryptocurrency has seen sideways price movement following the loss of the crucial $27,000 psychological level for bullish investors. During this period, BTC recorded a drop of 3.4%.

By Leonardo Pérez

Bitcoin Searches on Google Continue to Lose Ground

Interest in the largest cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, continues to decline and Google search data seems to demonstrate it in recent weeks.

Recent data indicates a significant decline in Bitcoins [BTC] popularity, particularly evident by the declining number of BTC-related Google searches in recent years. Compared to artificial intelligence (AI) searches on Google, BTC search volume is notably low.

Google search data shows that interest in Bitcoin is noticeably worsening over the past few weeks. Despite some price recovery this year, interest is far from the peak moments of recent years, especially 2021.

Therefore, the word Bitcoin in search engines fell to the level of 2020, which is presented as something absolutely negative. The correlation between BTC price and Google Trends metrics is considerably high.

Consequently, when people are not on Google researching cryptocurrency, it is unlikely that they will tend to invest. On the contrary, when the desire to know increases, this implicitly implies a purchase intention. Thus, if searches become generalized, it means that a purchasing period is approaching that could increase the price.

Interest in Bitcoin on Google Remains Very Low

In terms of social dominance, Bitcoin’s presence on the social front fell from 30.74% to 16.8% in recent weeks. Furthermore, since last month, sentiment around Bitcoin has continued to decline. This indicated that the number of negative comments about Bitcoin exceeded the number of positive comments at the time of publication.

For the last two years, the word Bitcoin in Google searches is on a downward trend. The same can be said for the price, which touched $69,000 per coin in 2021 and is now down more than 60%.

The price of the currency experienced a notable year-on-year recovery, the epicenter of which was the first half of 2023. Despite this, the sensation of popularity on the network continued to decline and this October 12 fell to levels not seen since 2020.

The score observed on the platform is 15 in the week ending October 14. This is a similar level to that presented in the same month of 2020. Last week, the score was also placed at a similar point between 15 and 16.

This score is equivalent to the comparison seen with the maximum (100) of 2021 and 2022. The winter in the world of cryptocurrencies became a devastating factor for people’s interest in investments in this currency. Hence there are not many intentions to investigate it either.

Bitcoin Google searches can be expected to improve if the currency actually enters a bull market.

Is the Bull Market Coming?

The very characteristics of cryptocurrencies make them a very difficult asset to understand when it comes to forecasts. These currencies have a low market capitalization and a short trading volume that makes them victims of high price volatility.

However, there are some theories and analyzes that allow us to roughly guess the future price behavior of the cryptocurrency. One of them is the cyclical theory based on halvings. If this is taken as true, it means that the next bullish cycle of BTC would occur at the end of 2024.

Investors who are buying now trust in that possibility. However, this theory is not infallible, given that the price of Bitcoin depends on many internal factors that could play a very strong role. One of them is the monetary policy of the US Fed and the approaches of regulators.

By Audy Castaneda