The Ethereum Merger that Promises to Shake Up the Cryptocurrency Market

The technology that supports the most important digital currency after Bitcoin is drawing close to a profound change that will affect its system and many other projects in the midst of the so-called “crypto-winter”.

The cryptocurrency market has been uncertain for months after the price crash experienced last April, which the most doomed analysts have compared to the dotcom crash.

The sharp drop in the price of Bitcoin after the collapse of Terra was followed by similar movements in the rest of the digital currencies, affecting the largest global operators, with bankruptcies of important companies included, in what has become known as the “crypto winter”.

The future of these currencies, as well as that of the technology that supports them, the Blockchain or blockchain, is unknown, although what is clear is that there is a very close event that promises to shake up the market again, both for one side or the other.

“The Merge”

This is “The Merge”, which is how the Ethereum Foundation – an organization after Ethereum, the second largest cryptocurrency after Bitcoin – has baptized the merger between its two networks, scheduled for September 15.

The Merge is an expected measure, dilated in time for years, by which the reward system of the so-called “cryptominers” is modified, those in charge of validating transactions and generating new blocks in the Blockchain.

With “The Merge”, Ethereum will modify its mining system, moving from the proof of work model, which uses a common consensus algorithm based on complex mathematical calculations, for which miners receive rewards, to the proof of stake model. The latter uses the number of cryptocurrencies of the miner to validate the transactions and create new blocks in the Blockchain and thus receive the rewards. In this way, a model that has been highly criticized for its high impact on the environment will no longer be used, due to the great energy consumption that it entails, for a less polluting one, since it does not need so much computing power to solve cryptographic calculations.

The importance of Ethereum is vital within the world of cryptocurrencies. In addition to having its own cryptocurrency, ether, whose capitalization is around 225,000 million euros, the Ethereum network constitutes a chain of blocks that works for an infinity of cryptocurrencies or tokens, some of them among the main ones in the market.

Disappointment

The price of Ethereum has increased over the past few weeks as the merger date approaches. But the expectations that had been put in that with “The Merge” significant savings would be achieved for the miners have been truncated when the foundation itself has denied it, this week.

The announcement has in recent days returned the currency to a downward trend, slightly exceeding 1,800 euros for each ether. It should be remembered that its maximum price exceeded, last November, 4,600 euros.

The so-called gas fees are the effort made by the miners’ computer equipment to carry out each transaction, which varies depending on the saturation of the network, and which, in any case, was reported to be high. Ethereum hopes to solve this problem in 2023, with a new remodel called “The Surge”.

In any case, the expected merger will affect the entire cryptographic system. In fact, analysts from entities such as J. P. Morgan already blame Ethereum’s announcements not only for the recent rise in its price but also for the current stability in the cryptocurrency market, which seems to have bottomed out after the deep decline a few months ago.

By Audy Castaneda

Bitcoin MVRV Indicator Confirms Bottom and Return to Positive Territory: On-Chain Analysis

BTC price has risen above its realized price.

Market-Value-To-Realized-Value (MVRV) is an indicator that measures the relationship between market and realized capitalization levels. Values ​​above 1 show that the market capitalization is greater than the realized capitalization, while those below 1 show the opposite. Subsequently, MVRV Z-score uses a standard deviation to normalize the values.

On this occasion, the on-chain indicators of Bitcoin (BTC) are analyzed, focusing on the MVRV and its recovery towards positive territory.

MVRV Z-Score

Historically, values ​​between 7 and 9 have coincided with the highs of the market cycle, while those below 0 have coincided with the lows. The gauge has been falling since February 2021, when it peaked at 7.53.

The indicator has fallen into negative territory four times since 2015 (black circles). He did it in: January 2015, December 2018, March 2020, and June 2022

Historically, after the indicator moves out of its oversold territory, it confirms that a bottom has been reached. In 2022, it did so on July 20. As a result, if the previous history is followed, it would mean that BTC has bottomed out.

BTC Realized Price

The movement of the MVRV indicator can be best visualized using BTC and its realized price, an indicator that measures the price at the time the last transaction was made.

While BTC fell below it, it has now regained its realized price (black circle), which currently sits at $21,700. Historically, once the realized price recovers, BTC has never dropped below it before starting a significant bullish rally.

Additionally, the time that MVRV was negative (red circle) was approximately 40 days, longer than March 2020, but shorter than December 2018 and January 2015.

Therefore, these two indicators are aligned, hinting that a bottom has been reached.

It is worth remembering that according to an analysis published a few days ago, Bitcoin had been rising since hitting a local low of $17,622 on June 18. However, the up move stalled at a high of $25,211 on August 12.

BTC has been moving lower ever since and is in the process of creating a large bearish candle. On August 19, BTC fell back to around $21,447 and recovered slightly.

BTC has been trading inside an ascending parallel channel since hitting its low on June 18. Such channels often contain corrective patterns, meaning that an eventual breakout of the channel would be expected.

Anyway, before making any type of investment, the recommendation is to carry out an in-depth study on each Blockchain.

Examples of in-depth studies consist of analyzing its whitepaper, token distribution, influence and dependence on social networks, market share of TVL blockchains, expansion of development, solidity in its infrastructure, performance, Blockchain ecosystem, cross-chain tools, support, and developers behind each Blockchain project, long-term planning for the construction of new ecosystems and incentives if it is a centralized or decentralized system, etc.

In conclusion, it is best to collect as much information as possible and do your own research.

By Audy Castaneda

While Authorities Freeze the Assets of Vauld, a New Cryptocurrency Emerges in Brazil

Armin Rezaiean-Asel explained that Coinbase would pause its transactions during the Ethereum Merge to help reflect its success in the systems. Crypto.com said it had committed itself to the rules of the OSC and the CSA to provide its services, which violates cryptocurrency principles.

Over the last week, the Indian Enforcement Directorate (ED) announced it would seize cryptocurrencies from Flipvolt. The agency said it would confiscate USD 46.5 million worth of those digital assets from the Indian branch of Vauld. They would take that action while investigating a money laundering case linking the crypto lender to shady companies.

Twenty-three FinTech and non-bank companies reportedly deposited millions of US dollars in wallets controlled by Yellow Tune Technologies through Flipvolt.

Vauld said that it had followed an ED subpoena to provide documents to investigators. They also explained they froze those funds due to an account belonging to a former client, closed since then.

The company stated it sought legal advice to protect the interests of its clients and all interested parties. They stressed that they had complied with the requirements of the Enforcement Directorate.

Coinbase to Suspend Withdrawals and Deposits of Ether

Besides, Coinbase will suspend the deposits and withdrawals of Ether (ETH) and ERC-20 tokens during the Ethereum Merge in September.

Armin Rezaiean-Asel, the product manager of Coinbase, said the exchange would briefly pause those transactions to handle the migration.

Although users expect the Merge to occur seamlessly, downtime helps reflect the success of the transition on the systems.

Buenos Aires to Have Ethereum Validator Nodes

Likewise, Diego Fernández, the secretary of Innovation and Digital Transformation of Buenos Aires, said the government plans to implement Ethereum validator nodes.

That way, the government of the capital of Argentina might be the first to implement Ethereum nodes by 2023.

Crypto.com Commits Itself to the Rules of Canadian Regulators

The first cryptocurrency exchange committing itself to the rules of the Ontario Securities Commission (OSC) and the Canadian Securities Administration (CSA) is Crypto.com.

The firm said it works with the OSC and the CSA to provide access to a secure and reliable global platform. This exchange platform is among those that many governments force to violate the anonymity principles of cryptocurrencies.

Mercado Libre Launches Its Cryptocurrency in Brazil

Finally, Mercado Libre announced the launch of Mercado Coin, which will become gradually available in Brazil.

Marcos Galperin, the Mercado Libre CEO, said the cryptocurrency would help further democratize financial inclusion.

The executive said the new crypto asset would help purchase various items and trade for the local fiat currency. That proves that the firm is aware of the relevance of incorporating the use of the technology behind cryptocurrencies.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin is trading at around USD 21,430 and has accumulated a 1.3% gain over the last 24 hours. While its daily trading volume is above USD 22.39 billion, its market capitalization is about USD 409.91 billion, according to CoinGecko.

By Alexander Salazar

Against and for Cryptocurrencies

Since 2020 they have had a vertiginous price growth, so far this year the fall has plummeted and the future of these digital assets is not clear.

Cryptocurrencies continue to generate deep controversy since their vertiginous price growth since 2020. So far this year the fall has been sharp and the future of these digital assets is not clear.

The questions end up being the same. Will they manage to transform into a mature technology and become part of the finance mainstream? Or will they go down in the history of innovation as the pretty solution to a problem that doesn’t exist (in particular, the demand for decentralization of society)?

Against Cryptocurrencies… Or Not?

Great critics and great defenders take advantage of each of the news with cryptocurrencies to strengthen their positions. For example, skeptics use data that is devastating. El Salvador is one of the first countries in the world to declare Bitcoin as legal tender. They claim that the country is facing a situation of bankruptcy and debt crisis.

The president of El Salvador, Nayib Bukele, has tried in recent years to portray himself as one of the great entrepreneurs and visionaries of Silicon Valley. It got the country to buy Bitcoin to add to its international reserves, encouraged companies from around the world to settle on its land to develop Blockchain innovation, and encouraged the population to use cryptocurrencies as a form of savings and to make retail purchases.

However, the idea of ​​acquiring Bitcoin at values ​​of 40 thousand dollars now that it costs close to 20 thousand does not seem to have been the timeliest, mainly if the state of the country’s financial accounts is taken into account.

The situation is so pressing that the International Institute of Finance carried out a special report on El Salvador this month, stating that the debt is unsustainable, reserves are running out quickly, pension funds are being drained and by 2023 the scenario is chaotic.

For Cryptocurrencies

Cryptocurrency optimists do not ponder negative news but notice more auspicious events for the sector. For example, the global finance empire BlackRock offered a boost to Bitcoin in recent weeks, incorporating the option to trade this digital currency on its Aladdin asset management platform (on which trillions of dollars are moved). It was a milestone in the financial industry and investment funds.

The news does not come only from the United States. Last week, the announcement of the Brazilian unit of Mercado Libre making the launch of Mercado Coin official was surprising. This is the first version of the digital currency of the e-commerce giant in the region, developed with Blockchain technology (on the Ethereum network) and with the intention of reaching all of Latin America.

It would be used as a user loyalty mechanism. In other words, every time a product is purchased in Mercado Libre Brasil, prizes will be received in this digital currency. But it is scheduled to offer the possibility of buying, saving, and transferring from the Mercado Pago platform.

The project is currently in the initial phase. The expectations that are generated may not materialize in reality. That happened with Facebook’s digital currency idea when it announced Libra and then Diem.

By Audy Castaneda

Bitcoin Might End the Dominance of the US Dollar

In 1971, President Nixon reached a deal with Saudi Arabia in which the latter would only accept US dollars for its oil. BTC might be the only currency accepted worldwide, but its high volatility might lead to using a Bitcoin-backed stablecoin like DOC.

Until 1971, gold-backed the US dollar while all other major currencies had a peg to it at a fixed exchange rate. However, that standard changed after World War I since only central banks could exchange the American fiat currency for the precious metal.

In the 1960s, the United States issued increasingly high amounts of banknotes to finance the Vietnam War, causing the economy to collapse. The country could not exchange the US dollars of foreign central banks for gold, as it had run out of its reserves.

That situation led President Ricard Nixon to cancel the Bretton Woods agreement established in 1944.

The Petrodollar Emerges after the End of the Gold Standard

Since 1971, nothing has backed most fiat currencies, whose exchange rates are free floating. President Nixon reached a deal with Saudi Arabia to maintain the dominance of the US dollar. The Middle Eastern nation ensured it would only accept US dollars for its oil in exchange for military protection.

The other members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) followed the Saudi Arabian example. The US dollar thus became the de facto world reserve currency, as all nations needed US dollars to buy oil.

Amid the Ukraine crisis, Russia and China have intensified their ties, seeking to expand the BRICS alliance. Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa were the founding members of that association.

Saudi Arabia is negotiating to join those developing countries, an increasingly powerful counterweight to the G7 alliance of Western nations and Japan. That would imply the end of the petrodollar system, as Saudi Arabia might accept other currencies, like the Chinese yuan, for its oil.

Other OPEC members might follow the Saudi Arabian example again, ending the dominance of the US dollar as a world reserve currency.

Bitcoin Might Emerge as a Neutral World Reserve Currency

A crucial fact for Bitcoin to replace the US dollar as the world reserve currency is neutrality. BRICS members might find it hard to agree on another national fiat currency as the dominant one.

The BRICS countries might not allow anyone to dominate their alliance as they have significantly different political systems and values. In other words, they will not accept the yuan, the ruble, or the rupee as the world reserve currency. Besides, the United States, Great Britain, Germany, and Japan will still have a powerful voice despite their decreasing dominance.

Since no nation controls Bitcoin, it might be the only currency accepted worldwide. However, its high volatility might lead to using a Bitcoin-backed stablecoin, like Dollar on Chain (DOC).

Unlike Tether or USDC, stablecoins supposedly backed by US dollars, the stability of DOC relies on a 100% Bitcoin-backed algorithm. Of course, the US dollar only serves as a reference since it is not in its system.

By Alexander Salazar

After Suspending Its Services, Crypto Lender Hodlnaut Lays Off Most of Its Staff

Hodlnaut implemented the layoffs to save the company money, saying that the remaining 20% of the workers would be crucial for its return. They did not provide details about the lawsuit against Celsius, which they consider contrary to user interests.

Cryptocurrency lending platform Hodlnaut blocked withdrawals, token swaps, and deposits around two weeks ago, citing the difficult market situation. The troubled company wants protection from Singapore creditors to avoid the forced liquidation of assets.

Some reports indicate that Hodlnaut held USD 187 million worth of TerraUSD (UST) before plummeting to USD 0 in May. However, the company stated it was also in a case of pending proceedings with the Singapore police, which also involved the state attorney general. It recently announced that it would lay off up to 80% of its workforce.

There Might Be a Move after the Recent Suspensions

Hodlnaut implemented the layoffs to save the company money and keep it in business. The company said the remaining 20% ​​of the staff would be crucial for its return.

Since they suspended withdrawals, they have also laid off 80% of their employees (around 40 employees) to reduce expenses. They believe that the team they have maintained is the staff necessary to perform relevant functions.

In its blog, Hodlnaut stated that its founders were in Singapore and would be ready for any legal proceedings. They said they had worked on the recovery plan and would eventually restore the system.

The company reiterated it had not placed assets on Celsius or any other crypto lending platform. They did not provide details about the lawsuit, which they consider goes against user interests.

Meanwhile, the FDIC Investigates FTX US over Deposit Insurance Claims

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) recently revealed that five cryptocurrency companies had misled investors about the insurance of their deposits. Those entities include exchange FTX.US and its president, Brett Harrison, as well as CryptoSec, SmartAsset, and FDICCrypto.com.

According to the agency, Harrison lied when claiming that direct deposits from employers to FTX.US went to individually FDIC-insured bank accounts. Besides, he said that the company held its stock in FDIC-insured and SPIC-insured brokerage accounts.

Harrison Must Stop Making Insurance Claims

The FDIC said that Harrison and the FTX.US website referred to some non-insured products. They also talked about non-guaranteed deposits in the amount advertised while exploiting the name of the FDIC.

The above US government corporation required Harrison and FTX.US to remove content implying the company was FDIC-insured. It also asked them to refrain from further such claims and to provide written confirmation. Harrison and the cryptocurrency exchange could otherwise face financial penalties under civil law.

Before deleting the above claims, the president of FTX.US said he and his company did not intend to mislead anyone. However, his Twitter page still featured various posts suggesting that the FDIC had indirectly insured FTX.US.

Bitcoin is trading at around USD 21,249 and has accumulated a 0.8% loss over the last 24 hours. While its daily trading volume is above USD 28.81 billion, its market capitalization is about USD 406.43 billion, according to CoinGecko.

By Alexander Salazar