XRP Faces Risk of Less than $0.37 on Increased US Regulatory Activit

On Sunday, XRP fell 2.12% to end the day at $0.38609. A bearish crypto market session and SEC versus Ripple angst left XRP in negative territory. Technical indicators turned bearish, signaling a return to below $0.36.

On Sunday, XRP fell 2.12%. Following a 0.22% drop on Saturday, XRP ended the week up 2.98% at $0.38609. Despite the bearish session, XRP avoided levels below $0.38 for the fourth session in a row.

After a choppy morning session, XRP rallied to a late afternoon high of $0.39760 before pulling back. Facing the first major resistance level (R1) at $0.3974, XRP slid to a late low of $0.38521. XRP fell through the first major support level (S1) at $0.3915, and the second major support level (S2) at $0.3885, to end the day at $0.38609.

Regulatory Risk and SEC v Ripple Weighted Uncertainty

On Sunday, there were no updates on the ongoing SEC versus Ripple case to sway investor sentiment. The continued silence from the courts left XRP in the hands of the broader crypto market and the SEC versus Ripple talk.

While investors remain hopeful of a positive outcome for the case, increased regulatory scrutiny of the digital asset space has tested buyers’ appetites. XRP has been seen struggling during periods of heightened regulatory activity, which will likely continue as markets await rulings in the SEC vs. Ripple case.

With no regulatory framework in sight, the US crypto market will remain at the mercy of US regulators and a Securities and Exchange Commission trying to regulate through the app.

XRP Price Action – Technical Indicators

With the US markets closed, there are no external market forces guiding investors today. However, the crypto news wires will continue to provide guidance. Investors should continue to monitor news and talk from Binance, FTX, Genesis, and Silvergate Bank related to the SEC vs. Ripple case.

XRP needs to move through the $0.3896 pivot to target the first major resistance level (R1) at $0.3941 and the Sunday high of $0.3976. A return to $0.39 would signal a bullish session. However, the broader crypto market and SEC v Ripple talk would need to support a breakout.

In the event of a prolonged rally, XRP would likely test the second major resistance level (R2) at $0.4020. The third main resistance level (R3) sits at $0.4144.

XRP was trading below the 50-day EMA, currently at $0.38980. The 50-day EMA pulled back from the 200-day EMA, and the 100-day EMA turned down to the 200-day EMA. The signals were bearish.

A bearish cross from the 100-day EMA through the 200-day EMA would support another dip through S1 ($0.3817) for S2 ($0.3772) to come back into play. However, a move through the 50-day EMA ($0.38980) would support a break of the 200-day EMA ($0.39075) and 100-day EMA ($0.39124) to give bulls a run at R1 ($0.3941). A move through the 50-day EMA would send a bullish signal.

By Audy Castaneda

Ethereum 2.0: The End of Competition with Bitcoin?

Was Ethereum 2.0 the beginning of the end for currency competition?

In September 2022, the Ethereum network took the big step: changing from Proof of Work to Proof of Stake. With this transition, the network will be much more efficient and scalable; however, the criticism that Ethereum has said goodbye to the competition with Bitcoin with this step does not disappear.

In recent years, the Ethereum network has been running on the proof-of-work consensus mechanism that Bitcoin also uses. This secures the network thermodynamically through the mining process. Ethereum has had increasingly higher transaction fees in recent years, which has made it difficult to scale.

The core of Ethereum 2.0 is Ethereum Merge. The Ethereum network was changed from Proof of Work to Proof of Stake, which means that the Ethereum network was able to operate with 99.9% more energy efficiency in one fell swoop. This lays the foundation for high scalability when running smart contracts. In the future, shard chains will greatly increase scalability.

Why Bitcoin Runs on Proof of Work? Criticism of Proof of Stake

Many Ethereum supporters enthusiastically announced the move to proof-of-stake, which should finally reach a new level of efficiency. The network must continue to grow, and more and more dApps must be built on the network. Proof of Work was considered slow and consumed a lot of power. Critics speak of it as a method that is harmful to the environment.

Bitcoin deliberately uses proof of work to thermodynamically secure the network. Therefore, Bitcoin has proof of a physically provided and decentrally distributed line. This is what makes the Bitcoin network so incredibly secure. Ethereum left this path with the move to proof of stake.

There are mechanisms here, such as freezing stakes in the event of a planned acquisition. Still, it’s hard to deny that securing proof of work is superior to physical performance in this case.

Is Ethereum’s Competition with Bitcoin Over?

In the early years of the Ethereum network, Ethereum fans often referred to the network as a better alternative to Bitcoin. Other followers, who took a more thoughtful approach, saw Ethereum as a completely different network with different functions than the Bitcoin network.

After the Merger it should be impossible for the ether token to become a better currency than bitcoin. Through proof of work and its massive hash rate, the Bitcoin network is extremely secure and not controlled by any central party, neither individual, nor state, nor corporation. This toughness characterizes Bitcoin, and makes it the ideal decentralized currency. Furthermore, Ethereum acts as a decentralized network with its own diverse functionalities. This makes the ether token extremely valuable in the future.

By Audy Castaneda

Analyzing BNB Chain Weekly Report to Make the Best Trading Decision

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BNB weekly average users exceeded 2.8 million, and the daily transaction count exceeded 2.9 million. On-chain performance was decent, but market indicators were bearish.

Binance Coin [BNB] recently published its weekly ecosystem report, highlighting all the notable developments in the network and also updating key statistics.

According to the report, BNB once again managed to maintain its track record of having more than 2 million transactions and active users.

Last week, weekly average users exceeded 2.8 million, while daily active users reached 831k. BNB Chain’s daily transaction count also remained high as it surpassed 2.9 million, which in total exceeded 17 million in the past seven days.

BNB Health Looks Good

Apart from the statistics, BNB also mentioned some important announcements that were made in the last seven days.

The most significant development was the release of BNB Chain’s technology roadmap for 2023. According to the technology roadmap, BNB Chain will work with the Ethereum community to build the best-performing EVM-compliant client for BSC.

On top of that, BNB Chain will also continue to improve the user experience, for example by introducing better cross-chain solutions and strengthening security through AvengerDAO 2.0.

BNB also launched its new Web3WonderWomen program last week, which is a new mentoring program for women on Web3.

All the updates had a positive impact on the on-chain performance of the network. For example, BNB’s MVRV ratio increased in the past few days, which was bullish.

BNB speed remained relatively high throughout the week, but recorded a decline later on. In addition, its on-chain trading volume in profit skyrocketed last week, which was a development in favor of investors. However, LunarCrush data revealed that BNB market dominance decreased last week by more than 1.2%.

Price Performance Has Been Mediocre

Although the on-chain performance was positive, nothing seemed to have reflected on the BNB chart as it posted no gains last week.

According to CoinMarketCap, the BNB price only managed to rise 1.9% over the past seven days, despite bullish market conditions. BNB was trading at $315.34 with a market capitalization of over $49.7 billion.

The BNB daily chart revealed quite a few reasons behind this performance. The On Balance Volume (OBV) registered a fall, which was bearish.

The exponential moving average (EMA) ribbon suggested that the bulls could soon lose their advantage in the market as the distance between the 20 day EMA and the 55 day EMA narrowed.

BNB’s Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) was also resting lower, which was again bearish. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) registered a slight rebound, but was still close to the neutral mark.

By Audy Castaneda

Three Reasons Why Bitcoin Is Likely to Hit $50,000

Although a fall is possible, the price of Bitcoin should increase considerably in the medium term. What are the reasons for such an increase?

Bitcoin is currently experiencing a good phase again. After the course had to accept a stronger drop a week ago, the value of the cryptocurrency has risen sharply in the last 7 days (higher than 13 percent).

The price of Bitcoin once again exceeded an important mark a few days ago at $25,000. This brings the cryptocurrency back as strong as last time in the second quarter of 2022. That could be halfway to a new high in 2023. $50,000 is a price target that is realistic for this year.

Said price could be seen again in the middle of the year. The end of the second quarter or the beginning of the third quarter of 2023 seems realistic. Even if there were to be another accident, a peak at that level would still be possible this summer.

Mentioned below are three good reasons why Bitcoin may already hit the $50,000 mark this year.

2019 Could Repeat Itself

In order to predict the evolution of prices in the crypto market in the medium and long term, historical comparisons can always be made. This comparison makes sense if we go back 4 years and look at 2019.

In 2019 there was very similar price action, as compared to 2023. Overall, the Bitcoin price increased from $3,500 to $10,500. If a factor of 3 on the price action for this year is considered, it is possible to arrive at around $50,000. The previous bear market shows a lot in common with the last one.

Stable FIAT Monetary Policy

It can be assumed that the percentage increases in the price of Bitcoin will decrease in repeated cycles. But even then, $50,000 could still be possible, assuming that Bitcoin is being severely undervalued right now.

This could be the case, because in 2022 the Bitcoin price fell compared to FIAT currencies such as the US dollar and euro, as central banks have dramatically increased interest rates. So far, that policy appears to be stabilizing, and hikes shouldn’t happen any time soon. That should increase the value of Bitcoin.

More Trust after Regulation

In 2022, many bankruptcies affected the cryptocurrency market. Celsius, Terra, or FTX: all these bankruptcies also hurt Bitcoin. At the moment, the SEC deals mainly with Altcoins. Stronger regulation of altcoins could follow.

In this case, the winner would be Bitcoin. Better regulation would increase trust in Bitcoin and could drive its price higher than altcoins. BTC dominance should increase. Thus, a price of $50,000 would be easier to reach.

By Audy Castaneda

BTC Fear and Greed Index Remains Greedy, Signaling a Bullish BTC Session

It was a bullish Saturday, with BTC rising 0.21% to end the day at $24,633. The Fear & Greed Index stayed within the Greed zone, holding steady at 60/100.

On Saturday, bitcoin (BTC) rose 0.21%. Consolidating a 4.48% rally since Friday, BTC ended the day at $24,633. Despite the bullish session, BTC failed to reach the $25,000 level for the first time in three sessions.

After a range-bound start to the day, BTC fell to a low of $24,450 by late morning. Moving away from the first major support level (S1) at $23,614, BTC rallied to a late-afternoon high of $24,878. Missing the first major resistance level (R1) at $25,287, BTC pulled back, to end the day at $24,633.

Regulatory Risk Relief Continued to Provide BTC Price Support

It was a quiet Saturday, with no crypto events affecting investor appetite. The lack of events made investors consider the events of the week.

Following the SEC’s moves against cryptocurrency staking and stablecoins, increased scrutiny from US lawmakers on SEC activity led to a bullish midweek session. While the shift in sentiment toward regulatory risk outweighed Fed fears, the increased likelihood of a more hawkish Fed interest rate path remains a drag on the crypto market.

However, there would have to be a deteriorating macroeconomic environment that would affect investor confidence. The latest round of US statistics removed any immediate fears of an economic downturn in the US. Retention sales rose 3.0%, with labor market conditions difficult despite the policy measures of the Fed to bring inflation to target.

The talk between the SEC and US lawmakers will continue to be in the spotlight. However, investors would have to monitor crypto news wires for news related to Binance, FTX, Genesis, and Silvergate Bank.

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Action – Technical Indicators

BTC needs to avoid a drop through the $24,654 pivot to target the first major resistance level (R1) at $24,857. However, a return to $25,000 would signal a breakout session. Crypto news wires need to be crypto-friendly to support a prolonged rally.

In the event of a prolonged rally, BTC would likely test the second major resistance level (R2) at $25,082 and Thursday’s high of $25,234. The third major resistance level (R3) sits at $25,510.

A drop through the pivot would bring the first major support level (S1) into play at $24,429. However, barring a crypto event-driven sell-off, BTC should avoid going below $24,000. The second major support level (S2) at $24,226 should cap the downside. The third major support level (S3) sits at $23,798.

A hold above the major support levels and the 50-day EMA ($23,455) would support a break from R1 ($24,857) to the R2 ($25.08) target. However, a drop through S1 ($24,429) would give the bears a run on S2 ($24,226). Barring a crypto event, BTC should avoid the 50-day EMA ($23,455).

By Audy Castaneda

The Five Top News of the Week

SEC measures, crypto taxes, PayPal stopping stablecoin development, Celsius creditors payout, and Siemens reliance on Polygon, hit the headlines this week.

This was an eventful week in the crypto space is coming to a close. Below are the most important events around Bitcoin, Ethereum and Co. at a glance.

The SEC is Cracking Down on the Crypto Space

Currently, the US is cracking down on the cryptocurrency sector. Lawsuits are being filed against cryptocurrency companies like Kraken, long-awaited licenses like Paxos are being denied, and banks like Signature are being pressured not to do business with cryptocurrency companies.

In the meantime, there is talk of concerted action by the US Treasury Department, the US Federal Reserve, and the US Securities and Exchange Commission against the cryptocurrency sector, as noted in BTC-ECHO editor-in-chief Sven Wagenknecht comments.

Crypto Taxes Are Being Negotiated at the Federal Fiscal Court

For the first time in its history, the Federal Tax Court, Germany’s highest financial court, has to comment on the taxation of cryptocurrencies. Basically, the question is whether Bitcoin and co. are considered economic goods and are, therefore, relevant under tax law. The decision could have far-reaching consequences for crypto investors.

This was preceded by a lawsuit filed by a Bitcoin investor who, almost a year ago, claimed taxes from a cryptocurrency exchange from the tax office. Bitcoin is not an economic good, he argues. The competent court of finance in Cologne dismissed the claim and the investor turned to the BFH. A total of 3.4 million euros is at stake.

PayPal Stops Stablecoin Development

As Bloomberg reported, payment service provider PayPal will stop working on its own stablecoin until further notice. The reason for this is the recently stricter attitude of the regulators, as they say.

As an example, PayPal worked with Paxos, the operator of Binance’s BUSD stablecoin, to develop the dollar token. However, after the attack on crypto exchange Kraken, PayPal itself became a target of the SEC.

Former Celsius Chief Will Pay Millions

Celsius bankruptcy trustees and company creditors are demanding millions in payments from the former boardroom of the bankrupt crypto lending service, including Alex Mashinsky, former Celsius CEO, and his wife.

According to a court document dated Feb. 14, Mashinsky and Celsius co-founder S. Daniel Leon are accused of, among other things, artificially inflating the token of crypto lender CEL. They also made “negligent, reckless and selfish investments” when Celsius was already threatened with bankruptcy.

Siemens Issues Crypto Security on Polygon

A current press release claims that on February 13, Siemens AG issued a crypto security for the first time, in accordance with the Electronic Securities Act, eWpG for short. The issue volume of the digital security is 60 million euros. The private bank Hauck Aufhäuser Lampe acted as registrar and paying agent for the transaction. DekaBank, DZ Bank and Union Investment invested in the bearer bond.

By Audy Castaneda