ETH Seeks $1,650 to Stake $1,700 in ETH Participation Streams

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Monday was a bearish session for Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), although the losses were modest. ETH and BTC saw further losses this morning.

After a range-bound morning, ETH rose to a mid-afternoon high of $1,665. Facing the first major resistance level (R1) at $1,666, ETH fell to a low of $1,608. Moving away from the first major support level (S1) at $1,602, however, ETH partially rallied to end the session at $1,633.

After a hectic Monday morning, BTC surged to a mid-afternoon high of $23,891. BTC broke above the first major resistance level (R1) at $23,795, before pulling back. The reversal caused BTC to slide to a late low of $23,131. BTC briefly fell through the first major support level (S1) at $23,205, before ending the day at $23,502.

ETH Staking Inflows Remained High Before Shapella Update

Following the news that Tron (TRX) founder Justin Sun staked 150,100 ETH on Lido (LDO) on Saturday, ETH inflows remained elevated on Monday.

The rise in ETH staking inflows signaled investor support for today’s Sepolia upgrade and March’s Goerli upgrade. The Shapella update was due to occur at 04:04:47 UTC on February 28, after which validators can withdraw their ETH staked on the Beacon Chain.

However, the market paid little interest to the latest ETH staking input figures as investors were concerned about the Federal Reserve and regulatory risk.

Ethereum (ETH) Price Action – Technical Indicators

ETH needs to avoid a drop through the $1,630 pivot to target the first major resistance level (R1) at $1,663 and Monday’s high of $1,665. A return to $1,650 would signal a breakout session. However, the Shanghai update news and crypto news wires should support ETH to support a breakout.

A drop through the pivot would bring the first major support level (S1) into play at $1,606. However, barring another crypto market sell-off, ETH should avoid less than $1,550. The second major support level (S2) at $1,578 should limit the damage. The third major support level (S3) sits at $1,521.

A move through the 50-day EMA ($1,633) would support a break of R1 ($1,663) to give the bulls a run into R2 ($1,692) and $1,700. However, a drop through the 100-day EMA (1630) would bring S1 ($1606) and the 200-day EMA ($1600) into view. A move through the 50-day EMA would send a bullish signal.

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Action – Technical Indicators

BTC needs to move through the $23,508 pivot to target the first major resistance level (R1) at $23,885 and Monday’s high of $23,891. A return to $23,750 would signal a breakout session. Crypto news wires and Fed talk should be crypto-friendly to support a prolonged rally.

In the event of a prolonged rally, BTC would likely test the second major resistance level (R2) at $24,268. The third major resistance level (R3) sits at $25,028.

A move through the 100-day ($23,520) and 50-day ($23,618) EMAs would support a break of R1 ($23,885) to the R2 ($24,268) target. However, a drop-through S1 ($23,125) would give the bears a run at the 200-day EMA ($22,918) and S2 ($22,748). A move through the 50-day EMA ($23,618) would send a bullish signal.

By Audy Castaneda

The Big Polkadot Forecast for March 2023

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There was a trend reversal at the beginning of 2023, and the price continued to rise again.

With the strong gains in the crypto market in January and February, Polkadot’s DOT token was also able to rise sharply. At times, the Polkadot course experienced an increase of more than 50%. But how will things continue in the coming weeks?

At the end of 2022, the Polkadot (DOT) course had to accept quite significant losses. Initially, at the turn of the year 2022/2023, the DOT price was at a new low of US$4.30.

The Polkadot price reached the $6 mark in mid-January. With that, Polkadot was one of the biggest gainers of the first 2-3 weeks of the year. By early February 2023, the DOT price had risen to over $7. After falling sharply below $6 in early February, the price temporarily rose above $7.70 in the middle of the month. In the past few days, the price has recently fallen back to $6.60.

In general, the price trend is basically bullish, although some fluctuations have been seen. That gives hope for a positive Polkadot (DOT) forecast for March 2023.

Why Could the Price Go Up So Much?

As with almost all altcoins, Bitcoin’s price surge earlier in the year was the main reason for Polkadot’s strong gains. The DOT course followed Bitcoin’s course relatively quickly, which is reflected in strong gains through mid-January.

The topic of interoperability is still very popular in the market, which is also reflected in the strong rise of Polygon (MATIC). This network also wants to establish itself as an interoperable network like Polkadot.

What is the Polkadot (DOT) Forecast for March 2023?

In recent weeks, despite some setbacks, there has been a clear upward trend in the DOT price. Therefore, Polkadot’s forecast for March 2023 should be quite positive. Although there has been evidence of a setback for the market in recent days, the general trend in the crypto market is bullish.

The Polkadot (DOT) course should also benefit from this. In the coming weeks, there could be a stabilization in the price, or a slight to moderate increase in the price.

With the latest Bitcoin price drop, Altcoin prices have also dropped slightly. Basically, though, the trend is upward. If Bitcoin breaks the $25,000 resistance in the next few weeks, altcoin prices should rise sharply as well. That would also greatly improve Polkadot’s forecast.

With Bitcoin topping $25,000 and rising to $30,000, Polkadot should be able to earn more than 20%. However, even with only a slight increase in the price of Bitcoin, the DOT price should also be able to rise again in the coming weeks.

Therefore, a Polkadot (DOT) forecast of $7.20 to $8.50 is assumed by the end of March 2023.

By Audy Castaneda

XRP Bears Eye Sub-$0.37 on SEC vs. Ripple Silence and Regulatory Jitters

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On Sunday, XRP rose 0.02% to end the day at $0.37794. The SEC vs. Ripple silence left XRP trailing behind the broader crypto market, with XRP more sensitive to regulatory talk. Technical indicators remained bearish, indicating a return to below $0.36.

On Sunday, XRP rose 0.02%. Following a 0.13% loss since Saturday, XRP ended the week down 2.11% at $0.37794. XRP ended the day at less than $0.38 for the third session in a row.

After a range-bound morning session, XRP fell to a low of $0.37500 by late afternoon. Pulling away from the first major support level (S1) at $0.3718, XRP rallied to a late high of $0.38055 before pulling back. Failing to reach the first major resistance level (R1) at $0.3816, XRP pulled back to end the day below $0.38.

Regulatory Risk Jitters Left XRP Flat for the Session

There were no SEC vs. Ripple case updates to guide investors on Sunday. The lack of news left investor sentiment towards the current regulatory environment, as well as a likely change in the regulatory landscape, to peg XRP to more significant gains.

Over the weekend, the G20 updates caught XRP by surprise. On Saturday, the G20 tasked the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), the Financial Stability Board (FSB) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to launch a global regulatory framework.

The decision to offer a global crypto regulatory framework over a crypto ban was crypto-positive. However, investors may view the IMF involvement as crypto-negative. At the G20, the managing director of the IMF suggested that banning cryptocurrencies should be an option.

With Europe taking a more crypto-friendly stance, the G20 could derail the EU’s plans to become the center of the Western world.

XRP Price Action – Technical Indicators

A range-bound start to the day saw XRP rally to an early high of $0.37809, before falling to a low of $0.37618.

XRP needs to avoid the $0.3755 pivot to target the first major resistance level (R1) at $0.3807. A return to $0.38 would signal a bullish session. However, the broader crypto market and SEC vs. Ripple talk would need to support a breakout.

In the event of a prolonged rally, XRP would likely test the second major resistance level (R2) at $0.3834 and resistance at $0.3850. The third main resistance level (R3) sits at $0.3889.

A breakout of XRP from R1 ($0.3807) would give the bulls a run on R2 ($0.3834) and the 50-day EMA ($0.38492). A move of XRP through the 50-day EMA ($0.38492) would send a bullish signal. However, a failure to move through the 50-day EMA ($0.38492) would leave major support levels in play.

Investors should continue to monitor crypto news updates related to the SEC vs. Ripple. News related to Binance and FTX will also attract interest.

By Audy Castaneda

ETH Eyes $1,700 in ETH Stake Flows Ahead of Shanghai Update

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It was a bullish Sunday session for Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), with ETH revisiting $1,650. ETH staking figures sparked a bullish session, with buyers on the dip supporting the broader crypto market. However, ETH and BTC made modest gains this morning.

Ethereum (ETH) was up 2.88% on Sunday. Reversing a 0.81% loss on Saturday, ETH ended the week down 2.31% at $1,641.

A mixed start to the day saw ETH drop to an early low of $1,588. Pulling away from the first major support level (S1) at $1,566, ETH rallied to a late high of $1,652. ETH broke above the first major resistance level (R1) at $1,617 and the second major resistance level (R2) at $1,638 to end the day at $1,641.

On Sunday, Bitcoin (BTC) rose 1.65%. Reversing a 0.09% loss from Saturday, BTC ended the week down 2.98% at $23,561. BTC ended the five-day losing streak and failed to reach the $24,000 level for the second session in a row.

A mixed start to the day saw BTC fall to an early morning low of $23,083. Pulling away from the first major support level (S1) at $22,918, BTC rallied to a late high of $23,673 before pulling back. BTC broke above the first major resistance level (R1) at $23,331 and the second major resistance level (R2) at $23,483 to end the day at $23,561. The third major resistance level (R3) at $23,619 capped higher.

Ethereum (ETH) Price Action – Technical Indicators

ETH needs to avoid the $1,627 pivot to target the first major resistance level (R1) at $1,666. A move through the Sunday high of $1,652 would signal a breakout session. However, updates from the Shanghai hard fork and crypto news leads should support ETH to support a breakout.

A hold above the 50-day EMA ($1,633) would support a break of R1 ($1,666) to give the bulls a run into R2 ($1,691) and $1,700. However, a drop at the 50-day EMA (1633) and 100-day EMA ($1629) would give the bears a run at S1 ($1602) and the 200-day EMA ($1598). A drop through the 50-day EMA would send a bearish signal.

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Action – Technical Indicators

BTC needs to avoid the $23,439 pivot to target the first major resistance level (R1) at $23,795. A move through the Sunday high of $23.673 would signal a breakout session. Crypto news wires and Fed talk should be crypto-friendly to support a prolonged rally.

A move through the 50-day EMA ($23,667) would support a break of R1 ($23,795) to the R2 ($24,029) target. However, a drop through the 100-day EMA ($23,530) and S1 ($23,205) would give the bears a run to the 200-day EMA ($22,886) and S2 ($22,849). A move through the 50-day EMA ($23,663) would send a bullish signal.

By Audy Castaneda

SEC Chairman Reaffirms Every Cryptocurrency Is a Security Other than Bitcoin, Lawyers Disagree

Gary Gensler’s recent interview with the New York Mag (NYMAG) has once again disturbed the crypto industry.

The SEC Chairman reiterated that he considers all crypto assets and all transitions to be subject to US securities laws, in addition to spot Bitcoin trading.

Although crypto assets have yet to be officially classified, Gensler said that “everything that isn’t Bitcoin” is a security.

In his opinion, the people behind all the crypto projects and networks are sneakily trying to lure investors into buying the tokens.

@WuBlockchain, a Chinese reporter of important crypto news mainly in Asia, tweeted the following:

“There are people behind these cryptocurrencies using a variety of complex and legally opaque mechanisms, but at the most basic level, they are trying to promote their tokens and attract investors.”

He added another tweet saying that:

“Gary Gensler said in an interview with NYMAG: pretty much every sort of crypto transaction already falls under the SEC’s jurisdiction except spot transactions in Bitcoin itself and the actual purchase or sale of goods or services with cryptos, ‘everything other than Bitcoin’.”

Financial Lawyers Disagree

Gensler argued that, in essence, “these tokens are securities because there is a pool in the middle, and the public anticipates gains based on that pool.”

Blockchain Association attorney and policy director Jake Chervinsky argued that Gensler’s words or opinion are not the law. On February 26, he argued the following:

“Chair Gensler may have prejudged that every digital asset aside from Bitcoin is a security, but his opinion is not the law. The SEC lacks authority to regulate any of them until and unless it proves its case in court. For each asset, every single one, individually, one at a time.”

The idea was echoed by SEC Commissioner Hester Pierce, who urged Congress to speed up the implementation of the legislation and the official classification of crypto assets. Until then, regulators like the SEC will take matters into their own hands with these enforcement actions, as they have been enthusiastically doing this year.

“Using enforcement actions to tell people what the law is in an emerging industry is not an efficient or fair way to regulate,” Hester said earlier this month, in response to the SEC’s crackdown on Kraken.

Until there is a robust regulatory framework for digital assets in the US, the SEC will continue its war against cryptocurrencies, whether it has jurisdiction or not.

Crypto Market Insights

Crypto markets are rising again this Monday morning in Asia. Total market capitalization rose 2.4% to $1.13 trillion; however, it has remained within a relatively tight range for most of the month.

Bitcoin had gained 2.2% to trade at $23,600, while Ethereum was up 3.3% to hit $1,644, according to CoinGecko.

By Audy Castaneda

BTC Fear and Greed Index Slides Closer to G20 News Fear and Fed Fear

It was a bearish Saturday, with BTC slipping 0.09% to end the day at $23,178. G20 talk and further reaction to US inflation and aggressive Fed comments left BTC in numbers reds. The Fear & Greed Index responded to the threat of a more hawkish Fed policy outlook and anti-crypto sentiment, falling from 52/100 to 51/100.

On Saturday, Bitcoin (BTC) fell 0.09%. Following a 3.13% drop on Friday, BTC ended the day at $23,178. The bearish session sent BTC below $23,000 for the second time in ten sessions. BTC extended its losing streak to five sessions, the second of the year.

A mixed start to the day saw BTC rally to an early morning high of $23,223. Failing to reach the first major resistance level (R1) at $23,942, BTC fell to a late low of $22,810. However, pulling away from the first major support level (S1) at $22,665, BTC found late support to end the day at $23,178.

G20 Anti-Crypto Sentiment and Fed Fear Weighted

The G20 updates in India affected investor appetite on Saturday. While calls for a comprehensive global regulatory framework are nothing new, talks of a cryptocurrency ban were bearish. The IMF maintained its stance against cryptocurrencies, with IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva suggesting that banning cryptocurrencies should be an option.

The G20 comments came amid heightened regulatory scrutiny that weighed on investor sentiment in February.

Fed Fear added to the bearish mood on Saturday. Investors responded further to the latest US inflation figures and hawkish Fed talk that sent the NASDAQ Composite Index and the cryptocurrency market into the red on Friday.

More G20 updates are likely to attract interest. While the IMF floated the idea of ​​a crypto ban, US Treasury Secretary Yellen poured water on a crypto ban but agreed on the need for a comprehensive crypto regulatory framework.

US regulatory activity and the talk of US legislators will need continued monitoring. Investors should also track crypto news leads for Binance and FTX updates and SEC vs. Ripple news that could move the dial.

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Action – Technical Indicators

BTC needs to avoid the $23,070 pivot to target the first major resistance level (R1) at $23,331. A move through Saturday’s high of $23,223 would signal a breakout session. Crypto news wires need to be crypto-friendly to support a prolonged rally.

In the event of a prolonged rally, BTC would likely test the second major resistance level (R2) at $23,483 and resistance at $23,500. The third major resistance level (R3) sits at $23,896.

Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hour candlestick chart, it was a bearish sign. BTC sat below the 100-day EMA ($23,546). The 50-day EMA closed above the 100-day EMA, with the 100-day EMA lowering back to the 200-day EMA, providing bearish signals.

A move through R1 ($23,331) would give bulls a run on R2 ($23,483) and the 100-day ($23,546) and 50-day (23,736) EMAs. However, a drop-through S1 ($22,918) and the 200-day EMA ($22,853) would give the bears a run at S2 ($22,657). A move through the 50-day EMA ($23,736) would send a bullish signal.

By Audy Castaneda