Lawyers are the Crypto Crash Winners

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The collapse in cryptocurrency prices last year forced a procession of major companies out of business, prompting a government crackdown and wiping out the savings of millions of inexperienced investors. Nevertheless for a small group of corporate restructuring specialists, the cryptocurrency implosion has turned into a financial bonanza.

Lawyers, accountants, consultants, cryptocurrency analysts and other professionals have racked up more than $700 million in fees since last year from the bankruptcies of five major cryptocurrency companies, including digital currency exchange FTX, according to an analysis by New York Moments court records. That sum is likely to increase significantly as cases develop in the coming months.

High fees are common in corporate bankruptcies, the resolution of which requires complex and time-consuming legal work. But in the world of cryptocurrency, the rising fees have sparked widespread outrage because many of the people owed money are hobby traders who lost their personal savings, rather than corporations with the ability to weather a financial crisis. Every dollar of commissions is deducted from the pool of funds that will be returned to creditors in the event of bankruptcies.

“Exorbitant and Ridiculous Fees”

According to 19-year-old investor Daniel Frishberg, the fees are “exorbitant and ridiculous.” Daniel lost about $3,000 when cryptocurrency company Celsius Community filed for bankruptcy last year. “At every hearing, they have an army of people there, and most of them don’t need to be there. You don’t need 20 people taking notes.”

To account for overhead fees, The Times analyzed more than 5,000 pages of billing statements and other court documents from the bankruptcies of crypto companies FTX, Celsius Network, Voyager Digital, BlockFi and Genesis World. The totals include fees that a bankruptcy judge has formally approved, as well as some that are awaiting approval and could be reduced.

Among the biggest winners in the five cases are two major law firms. Sullivan & Cromwell, which handles the FTX bankruptcy, has collected more than $110 million in legal fees and has recorded more than $500,000 in expenses. Kirkland & Ellis has billed $101 million for its work on three of the cryptocurrency bankruptcies, with $2.5 million in expenses, according to Occasions’ analysis.

According to the analysis, more than 50 other professionals have also benefited, including specialized startups that analyze crypto transactions, as well as accountants, consultants, and investment bankers.

The rising costs reflect the broken promises of cryptocurrency, a renegade industry that has been presented to amateur traders as a force for equality in the ultra-stratified world of high finance. After months of price gouging and social media hype, the cryptocurrency market went into a disaster last year that cost investors billions in savings and allowed lawyers, bankers and other traditional power brokers to reap huge Profits.

As the industry has struggled to recover, bankruptcy fees have come under intense scrutiny from the hyper-online community of crypto obsessives, who have spent hundreds of hours poring over the statements companies are required to file. publicly in court.

In the FTX bankruptcy, creditors have raised concerns about hourly rates charged by Sullivan & Cromwell, which top out at $595 for paralegals and $2,165 for partners. Last fall, Voyager’s creditors filed a motion complaining that attorneys overseeing the bankruptcy were spending thousands of dollars per person on hotel stays and billing $10,000 a month for catering.

Lawyers and other bankruptcy professionals argue that they are charging market rates for hard work that will ultimately help recover money lost by cryptocurrency investors. In the case of FTX, Sullivan & Cromwell has said it has raised more than $7 billion in assets, though it’s unclear how much of that full force will return to creditors.

A spokesman for FTX’s new management said the bankruptcy was “extraordinary in almost every way imaginable,” requiring professionals to recreate records from scratch and locate missing funds. Andrew Dietderich, a partner at Sullivan & Cromwell, said in a statement that the lack of clear crypto regulations made cases more complex and time-consuming, driving up costs.

By Audy Castañeda

Is Bitcoin’s Shine Fading? These Three Metrics Ring Alarm Bells

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Bitcoin has long been the benchmark for cryptocurrencies, guiding sentiment and market dynamics. But recent metrics reveal a disturbing trend. In fact, the pioneering digital currency seems to be losing its appeal.

Analysis of market data, search trends, buying and selling volumes, and investor behavior reveals a disturbing pattern of declining interest.

Bitcoin Investing Volumes Plummet

One of the first alarming metrics to suggest declining interest in Bitcoin is buying and selling volume. According to data from CoinGecko, Bitcoin place investing volumes for the true quarter total $721.10 billion. It is worth noting that Bitcoin buying and selling volumes in the second quarter of this year reached $1.25 trillion, which is a potential drop of 14% month-on-month.

If this trend continues through September, quarterly trading volumes could drop to a level not seen since the first quarter of 2019. Similarly, Ethereum trails Bitcoin, with trading volumes for July and August recording $232.06 billion and $212.92 billion, respectively.

Continuing this trend would push Ethereum’s quarterly trading volume to just over $650 billion, another low point very similar to 2019 levels.

Decrease in Google Search Traffic

Even so, the significant drop in Bitcoin and Ethereum buying and selling volumes is just the tip of the iceberg. Google Traits adds another layer of concern. Organic search traffic for the keywords “cryptocurrency” and “Bitcoin” has returned to levels not seen since 2019.

“This is exactly what apathy looks like,” said Will Clemente, Co-founder of Reflexity Exploration. Although Bitcoin search traffic has been somewhat stable, the downward trend for the broader term points to less public interest. This can be considered a clear influence on investor sentiment.

Some say that the popularity of top industry search queries to the keyword “Uranus” to highlight waning interest. There are more people looking for the planet Uranus than Ripple, despite the recent court decision in the lawsuit against the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

Low Volatility and Investor Sentiment

Most alarmingly, the volatility metrics for Bitcoin, historically known for its price swings, remain low. In a recent report, cryptocurrency exchange Bitfinex highlighted that the delta between implied and historical volatility is only 1.3%, indicating market expectations of sustained low volatility.

The low volatility environment is further emphasized by Bitcoin’s velocity, a metric that acts as a barometer of market activity. Bitcoin’s velocity drop indicates lukewarm participation among market players. Therefore, it suggests a period of cautious hesitation or consolidation in the crypto industry.

The market is also seeing a cooldown. Despite above-average investing volumes of $2.8 billion over the past week, capital outflows, which have totaled $342 million over the past seven weeks, minimize negative sentiment.

Implications: Future Prospects for Bitcoin

Institutional firms such as Genesis Buying and selling predict that future buying and selling volume growth will likely depend on derivatives, citing:

“Spot market liquidity suffering and chronically declining spot order book depth.”

This is not a surprise, given the decline in trading volumes and investor interest. With cryptocurrency investment product flows cooling, coupled with declining trading volumes and falling search interest, it is clear that Bitcoin is going through a period of uncertainty.

While Bitcoin may not have completely lost its luster, these indicators cannot be ignored. Investors would be wise to brace for more bearish or sideways moves until a compelling reason for a market rally materializes.

Only time will tell, in light of these metrics, whether Bitcoin will return to its former glory or continue to fade into an eerie lull.

By Leonardo Pérez

More than 50% of the Inhabitants of Turkey Invest in Bitcoin and Cryptocurrencies

A recent report reveals that the population of Turkey is rapidly adopting cryptocurrencies, with most aiming to build wealth in the long term rather than seeking quick profits.

“Meanwhile, the Turkish lira has depreciated more than 50% against the US dollar, making cryptocurrencies a haven against inflation,” the study notes.

Türkiye Adopts a Buy and HODL Cryptocurrency Investment Strategy

KuCoin, a major cryptocurrency exchange, recently published a report explaining the state of cryptocurrency activity and expansion in Turkey.

The report highlights that the second quarter of 2023 saw significant adoption, with an average investment of around $3,746:

“31% of cryptocurrency investors joined in the last quarter and 36% invested more than 100,000 lira.”

The report is based on a survey of 550 adult investors between the ages of 18 and 60 in Turkey. All participants own or have invested in cryptocurrencies in the last six months.

The results indicate that Turkish citizens are focused on the long term rather than trying to make quick profits:

“58% invest in cryptocurrencies to increase long-term wealth, followed by 37% to store value.”

When it comes to cryptocurrencies of interest, Bitcoin leads the way at 71%, followed by Ethereum at 45% and stablecoins at 33%.

 The fall of the National Currency Shifts Attention to Cryptocurrencies

According to the report, more than half of the Turkish survey participants (57%) heard about cryptocurrencies from friends or family, and 35% discovered it through local communities.

Meanwhile, he cites the Turkish lira losing more than 50% of its value against the US dollar as a contributing factor. This situation turns cryptocurrencies into a “refuge against inflation”.

Recent reports reveal that the Turkish lira has been falling dramatically against the US dollar for quite some time.

The monetary policy committee of the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey has recently declared its intention to continue tightening monetary policy until the situation is resolved:

“Monetary tightening will be tightened as much as necessary, in a timely and gradual manner, until a significant improvement in the inflation outlook is achieved.”

By Leonardo Pérez

Bitcoin: Will Critical Support at $25,500 Hold in September?

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Last week, Bitcoin’s volatility increased slightly as the cryptocurrency finally closed the week at $25,900.

Recent Bitcoin price movements were primarily influenced by developments related to spot ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds) and actions taken by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) against the cryptocurrency sector during the summer months.

To give you a quick recap: In June, when the SEC took legal action against Binance and Coinbase (NASDAQ: COIN), it pushed Bitcoin below the $25,000 mark. Nevertheless, a significant turnaround occurred when BlackRock (NYSE: BLK) filed for a spot ETF, quickly driving Bitcoin into the $31,000 range.

Bulss’s efforts to hold Bitcoin above $31,000 continued through mid-July, but failed due to macroeconomic events that reduced risk appetite in the market and a lack of specific catalysts to support a sector-wide rally.

Finally, Bitcoin, which started trading below $30,000 last month, lost ground with a sharp decline due to the sale of its Bitcoin holdings by Elon Musk’s SpaceX Company and a real estate crisis originating in China.

During this drop, fueled by panic selling, Bitcoin moved with low volatility trades, using the $26,000 level as a pivot point.

Last week, the market rejoiced at Grayscale’s victory in its SEC lawsuit, but the regulator’s decision to postpone ETF application reviews until October made the enthusiasm short-lived.

At the moment, Bitcoin is trending horizontally just below the $26,000 mark. On a weekly basis, it is evident that BTC is finding support above $25,500, which corresponds to the 382 Fib level based on the November 2022 low and June 2023 high.

The loss of the critical support at $28,000 sent a strong signal that downside risks have increased. The sharp drop in mid-August also caused the Bitcoin price to fall below the medium-term EMA on the weekly chart.

Therefore, it is crucial for Bitcoin to hold the $25,500 support to prevent further declines. If this support is broken, BTC could extend its downward momentum to around $21,700 (Fib.618).

Although Bitcoin confirmed the break of the 2023 uptrend with last month’s selloff, it would not be accurate to say that it is in a downtrend as long as it holds the $25,500 support.

Since April, when the bullish momentum slowed, Bitcoin’s price action has oscillated within a wide range of $25,000 to $31,000. Therefore, losing the .382 Fib level would technically confirm the start of a downtrend.

A Remarkable Potential Bullish Move

If Bitcoin manages to hold above this critical support in September, the $28,000 region will become important for potential bullish moves. A weekly close above this level would negate the formation of a downtrend and mark the first step towards recovery.

Furthermore, this move would imply crossing the midline of the price band, which could trigger further advances towards $31,000, depending on whether the cryptocurrency enters positive territory.

If Bitcoin attracts buyers above $31,000 in the last quarter of the year, it would signify a recovery from the 2023 uptrend, providing a positive outlook for the cryptocurrency as it enters 2024.

While the BTC price continues to hold above June support, the Stoch RSI indicator has pulled back to the November 2022 lows. However, it has yet to generate a reversal signal.

This suggests that if the resistance, closely monitored at $28,000, is broken on a weekly close, we could see the indicator signaling support for a move higher.

By Leonardo Pérez

Mining a Bitcoin Is Less Expensive than Drying Clothes

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Many people get carried away by the bad road for statements such as ‘Bitcoin takes in more energy than a small nation,’ or ‘Bitcoin Eclipsan carbon emissions in a million times those of a single visa transaction’. These types of statements often fell the flames of this discussion. However, a recent study reveals that extracting a BTC is cheaper than a domestic activity.

According to Coingcko data, the average cost of domestic electricity necessary to extract a single bitcoin is $ 46,291. This marks an increase of 35% compared to the average daily price of 1 BTC in July 2023, which amounted to $ 30,090. However, it is essential to recognize that these figures may vary significantly between different geographical regions.

The amount of energy units used during the BTC extraction process in an hour may not be as different as expected. This is particularly true when typical appliances are juxtaposed. While the consumption of electricity per hour to extract a bitcoin exceeds that of a staff computer for games, an air conditioning, a leaf blower, and even an electric boil, it is worth noting that drying the clothing consumes significantly more electricity than mining than mining than mining of BTC. Dry Take in a total of 5 kWh, while BTC mining uses 4.6 kWh.

Is Extracting Bitcoin at Home a Good Option?

Bitcoin mining using a personal computer has lost profitability due to several factors. A main component is the substantial increase in the level of mining difficulty over the years. As the mining community grows with more participants, the level of difficulty increases, which makes it more difficult for people to extract Bitcoin and receive rewards.

In addition, the use of dedicated mining components is a challenge for the profitability of Bitcoin mining. ASIC are designed for Bitcoin mining. It has a significantly greater processing power compared to a standard domestic computer. They have the ability to extract BTC at a substantially faster rate than a typical domestic computer. Consequently, this creates a formidable barrier for individual miners to remain competitive.

In addition, most ASICs are acquired in mass by large Bitcoin mining operations, which generates supply limitations and high costs for individual miners.

By Audy Castañeda

JP Morgan: Spots Likely Bitcoin ETF Approval after Grayscale Legal Victory

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JP Morgan analysts, led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, have indicated that the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) will soon have little choice but to green-light multiple applications for Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in cash. This prediction comes on the heels of Grayscale’s recent lawful victory against the SEC.

Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou is a Managing Director of JP Morgan and operates from London, focusing on the worldwide market strategy spanning alternatives and digital assets. He is the editor of the weekly Flows & Liquidity report, an elementary publication of JP Morgan.

As you may recall, on August 29, the US Court of Appeals for the DC Circuit ruled that the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) should review Grayscale Investments’ request to convert its “Grayscale Bitcoin Trust” product into a spot Bitcoin ETF.

Circuit Judge Neomi Jehangir Rao stated (as part of the court’s opinion on Grayscale’s “Petition for Review of an Order of the Securities and Exchange Commission”):

“It is a fundamental principle of administrative law that agencies should treat similar cases equally. The Securities and Exchange Commission recently approved two bitcoin futures funds for trading on national exchanges but denied approval for Grayscale’s bitcoin fund. In seeking a review of the Commission’s denial order, Grayscale contends that its proposed bitcoin exchange-traded product is materially related to bitcoin futures exchange-traded products and should have been approved for listing on NYSE Arca. We agree. The rejection of Grayscale’s proposal was arbitrary and capricious because the Commission failed to explain its different treatment of similar products. We therefore agree to Grayscale’s request and cancel the order.”

Proponents believe that a spot Bitcoin ETF would streamline investing for the average person by eliminating the need for direct Bitcoin transactions and reducing custody-related risks. The ruling has reignited optimism among a new batch of applicants waiting for its approval, especially given the SEC’s track record of rejecting all previous Bitcoin ETF applications.

On Aug. 31, the SEC postponed decisions on spot Bitcoin ETF applications from several firms, including BlackRock, Fidelity, and Invesco, until mid-October.

Why is the Court´s decision so important?

Last Friday, JP Morgan highlighted that the court found no valid reason for the SEC to approve futures-based Bitcoin ETFs and reject spot-based ones. This is important because, in order to justify its rejection of Grayscale’s strategy of turning GBTC into a spot ETF, the SEC would need to reverse its previous approvals of futures-based Bitcoin ETFs. According to the bank, such a move would be highly disruptive and damaging to the SEC’s reputation, making it an unlikely course of action.

However, the bank also noted that even if Grayscale’s lawful victory makes approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF more likely, it will not necessarily be a transformational event for the cryptocurrency market. Spot Bitcoin ETFs have been available in Canada and Europe for a while, but have not attracted significant investor interest. Additionally, Bitcoin funds in general, whether futures-based or physically backed, have seen limited investor participation since the second quarter of 2021. Additionally, analysts argue that the returns of spot Bitcoin ETFs based on futures are relatively minor.

By Leonardo Pérez